2015 Linowes Lecture
The Power of Forecasting Tournaments to Answer Previously Unanswerable Questions: How Good is Political Judgment? How Good Can it Become?
- Keynote Speaker: Philip E. Tetlock
- Date: April 13, 2015
Keynote Speaker Bio: Prof. Philip E. Tetlock is the Annenberg University Professor, School of Arts and Sciences and Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. He has received awards from professional and scientific organizations including the American Psychological Assoc., the American Political Science Assoc., the American Assoc. for the Advancement of Science, International Society of Political Psychology, the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and the National Academy of Sciences. He has published approximately 200 articles in peer-refereed journals and edited or written 10 books. His research programs have explored a variety of topics, including the challenges of assessing “good judgment” in both laboratory and real-world settings; and the criteria that social scientists use in judging judgment and drawing normative conclusions about bias and error